久久精品30_一本色道久久精品_激情综合视频_欧美日韩一区二区高清_好看的av在线不卡观看_国产自产精品_91久久黄色_午夜亚洲福利_欧美黄在线观看_国内自拍一区

 

Call for weakening Chinese banks' role in public funding

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail Shanghai Daily, June 11, 2012
Adjust font size:

As China's growth slows, its banking system is coming under greater scrutiny. The general perception outside the country is that negative real interest rates are causing financial instability, repressing consumption and encouraging excessive investment in capital-intensive industries.

Amplifying this perception was Premier Wen Jiabao's much-publicized recent statement that the big four state commercial banks - Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd, China Construction Bank Corp, Agricultural Bank of China Ltd and Bank of China Ltd - have a monopoly position and earn excessive profits while neglecting small private companies and catering to the interests of large state enterprises.

Although this storyline has a degree of validity, some aspects of it are more myth than reality. Those myths risk diverting attention from the real nature of the banking system's problems.

MYTH: Negative real interest rates are a problem specific to China.

REALITY: These days, negative real interest rates are a global norm. Real interest rates for savers are more negative in the US (-2 percent) than they are in China (-0.5 percent) given recent inflation and benchmark one-year deposit rates.

What makes China's form of financial repression unique is not negative real interest rates per se but the restricted investment choices - reinforced by capital controls - for household savings. The authorities strictly limit how much cash individuals can take out, review the purpose and origins of bank transfers and regulate investment options. As a result, government can more easily capture household savings for its own spending.

MYTH: Negative real interest rates explain low consumption in China.

REALITY: Such rates are a relatively minor factor in explaining the 15 percentage point decline in the share of consumption to GDP in China over the past two decades. Most of this decline is due to the industrialization process as workers move from agriculture to industry. In the process, household income typically declines relative to GDP, causing the share of consumption to fall.

The same phenomenon occurred in other rapidly industrializing economies including Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and even the US a century ago. In these countries, consumption as a share of GDP fell by 20 to 40 percentage points over several decades.

Household consumption in China has notably grown by more than 8 percent annually over the past two decades.

This is higher than any other major economy. The goal is to maximize sustainable growth in consumption over time and not its share of gross domestic product. The concern that consumption has been repressed is thus misplaced.

MYTH: China's big four state commercial banks enjoy a monopoly position and earn excessive profits.

REALITY: The four banks now command about 45 percent of banking assets, but this compares with 75 percent two decades ago. And while reporting high profits, these banks will inevitably be forced to take major write-offs by the defaults from the 2008 stimulus program.

So the big four neither enjoy more of a monopoly position nor earn excessive profits. The real problem is the limited presence of other financial intermediaries and the rudimentary nature of bond and equity markets, both of which poorly serve the needs of small private companies and local governments.

MYTH: China's low interest rates encourage excessive investment in capital-intensive industries.

REALITY: Given China's unusually high savings rate of about 50 percent of GDP, interest rates might actually fall in a fully liberalized financial system. Regardless, the government's intentions, and not low interest rates, drive the investment pattern in China.

In an economy of China's size and diversity, the industrial structure would normally span the full range of light to heavy industries. The buildup in heavy industries has been triggered not by low interest rates but by an overly ambitious effort to rapidly rebuild its depleted capital stock.

Despite high investment rates, China's capital stock in relation to the size of its economy has been below average for middle-income East Asian countries. Together with the strategic push for rapid urbanization, this has driven growth in steel, cement and heavy construction machinery.

MYTH: Reforms will allow the banking sector to play a more prominent role in the economy.

REALITY: Bank deposits as a share of GDP are abnormally large in China because the government has been using credit expansion to drive demand and households have limited investment options. In a reformed world, the banking footprint will shrink and other financial services will increase to serve more diversified interests.

MYTH: Reforming the banking system means improving its governance and regulatory framework.

REALITY: This thinking misses the point. Weaknesses in the banking system - as serious as they may be - are less important than the inadequacies of the fiscal system in serving the needs of a state-driven economy. Government expenditures account for only 27 percent of GDP in China compared with about 35 percent in other middle-income economies and more than 40 percent in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries.

When reforms began decades ago, government revenue and the profits of state enterprises had collapsed and the only feasible option to secure resources for investment was to tap household savings deposits. With an increasingly sophisticated economy, China's leadership needs to move away from having banks as the main instrument for funding public expenditures.

Thus the key to reforming the financial sector begins by getting the fiscal system to take on the responsibilities it should normally have. This would encourage more accountable and transparent practices, and reduce the likelihood of waste and corruption.

Yukon Huang is a former country director for China at the World Bank. The opinions expressed here are his own.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
久久精品30_一本色道久久精品_激情综合视频_欧美日韩一区二区高清_好看的av在线不卡观看_国产自产精品_91久久黄色_午夜亚洲福利_欧美黄在线观看_国内自拍一区
欧美放荡的少妇| 亚洲国产va精品久久久不卡综合| 色丁香久综合在线久综合在线观看| 牛牛国产精品| 国产精品v欧美精品v日韩精品| 欧美成人日本| 国产精品久久| 在线观看一区视频| 亚洲毛片视频| 亚洲一区欧美激情| 香港久久久电影| 在线一区二区三区做爰视频网站| 色哟哟日韩精品| 欧美日韩精品系列| 日韩三级视频中文字幕| 精品国产免费人成在线观看| 久久这里只精品最新地址| 日本一区二区三区国色天香 | 国产亚洲福利社区一区| 国产午夜精品久久久久久久| 中文字幕不卡一区| 亚洲激情自拍偷拍| 日日夜夜精品免费视频| 狠狠色狠狠色合久久伊人| 不卡在线观看av| 欧美网站在线| 久久综合伊人| 777亚洲妇女| 久久精品视频在线看| 中文字幕一区在线| 午夜电影一区二区三区| 麻豆精品视频在线观看| 成人美女视频在线观看18| 欧美片网站免费| 亚洲一区二区三区免费观看| 欧美日韩国产一区二区三区地区| 日韩欧美一区二区视频| 亚洲日穴在线视频| 老司机精品视频线观看86 | 亚洲开发第一视频在线播放| 欧美专区18| 日韩欧美激情四射| 亚洲男同性恋视频| 激情文学综合网| 国产精品国产亚洲精品看不卡15| 久久久99爱| 久久综合色综合88| 亚洲已满18点击进入久久| 国产麻豆精品95视频| 在线精品亚洲| 欧美一级理论片| 亚洲欧洲美洲综合色网| 国产在线精品国自产拍免费| 国产精品分类| 日韩一区国产二区欧美三区| 国产精品高潮久久久久无| 久久电影网站中文字幕 | 2020国产精品自拍| 性久久久久久久久久久久| 成人高清视频免费观看| 久久免费一区| 国产婷婷色一区二区三区 | 欧美激情91| 欧美久久久久久蜜桃| 亚洲美女在线一区| 99久久精品国产一区二区三区| 色综合久久久久网| 国产精品久久久久永久免费观看 | 欧美电影在线免费观看| 亚洲另类色综合网站| 成人精品国产一区二区4080| 久久亚洲综合网| 亚洲欧美日韩小说| 99国产精品视频免费观看| 在线免费观看一区| 亚洲精品久久嫩草网站秘色| 成人18视频在线播放| 在线精品亚洲一区二区不卡| 亚洲欧美激情插 | 美女黄色成人网| 1000部国产精品成人观看| 粉嫩嫩av羞羞动漫久久久| 欧美中文字幕一二三区视频| 一区二区三区四区乱视频| 欧美另类一区| 精品国精品国产| 国产综合久久久久影院| 老司机午夜免费精品视频 | 国产在线观看一区| ww久久中文字幕| 成人午夜激情影院| 欧美成人精品1314www| 国内外成人在线视频| 欧美色图12p| 狠狠久久亚洲欧美| 欧美日韩国产另类一区| 免费人成精品欧美精品| 在线看不卡av| 精品一区二区在线看| 欧美色涩在线第一页| 麻豆成人免费电影| 欧美午夜电影网| 另类小说一区二区三区| 在线观看www91| 秋霞电影一区二区| 91九色02白丝porn| 久久精品国产99| 7777精品久久久大香线蕉 | 欧美一区二区三区四区五区| 国产精品一区在线观看乱码 | 图片区小说区区亚洲影院| 久久久夜夜夜| 精品无码三级在线观看视频| 欧美一区二区三区免费观看视频 | 麻豆9191精品国产| 久久国产精品色| 欧美一级欧美一级在线播放| 国产一区在线视频| 久久久不卡网国产精品一区| 午夜电影亚洲| 亚洲综合色网站| 色婷婷狠狠综合| 国产91丝袜在线播放0| 日韩久久免费av| 欧美精品偷拍| 亚洲一区二区三区中文字幕在线| 久久精品网址| 国产一区二区久久| 国产午夜精品久久久久久久| 91久久精品www人人做人人爽| 午夜激情一区二区| 91精品国产乱码| 亚洲大胆av| 日韩av一区二区三区四区| 精品少妇一区二区三区视频免付费 | 亚洲精品一区二区三区精华液| 色综合天天狠狠| 亚洲综合在线免费观看| 欧美日韩不卡一区二区| 欧美韩日精品| 日本 国产 欧美色综合| www激情久久| 午夜亚洲视频| 粉嫩高潮美女一区二区三区| 中文字幕日韩欧美一区二区三区| 美女国产精品| 色综合一区二区| 五月天激情综合| 久久综合色鬼综合色| 久久亚洲图片| 欧美bbbxxxxx| 蜜桃久久久久久久| 国产日韩高清在线| 一本大道久久a久久精品综合| 国产91丝袜在线播放0| 亚洲成人午夜电影| 久久综合av免费| 色嗨嗨av一区二区三区| 欧美黄色免费| 国产一区美女在线| 亚洲国产精品久久久久婷婷884| 日韩一区二区三区四区| 国产精品永久| 欧美黄污视频| 国产成人精品亚洲日本在线桃色| 亚洲欧美福利一区二区| 欧美一级夜夜爽| 久久久久久穴| 海角社区69精品视频| 成人精品免费视频| 蜜桃在线一区二区三区| 亚洲美女精品一区| 久久久久国产精品麻豆ai换脸| 色噜噜狠狠色综合中国| 在线观看成人av电影| 99久久99久久综合| 久久成人免费日本黄色| 一区二区欧美视频| 国产精品毛片大码女人| 日韩一区二区三区四区| 欧洲人成人精品| 亚洲一区二区三区四区中文 | 欧美日韩色综合| 久久成人精品| 国产毛片久久| 亚洲电影自拍| 欧美网站在线| 91丝袜美腿高跟国产极品老师 | 色综合久久中文综合久久97| 丁香六月久久综合狠狠色| 美女被吸乳得到大胸91| 亚洲韩国精品一区| 亚洲综合色噜噜狠狠| 一区二区三区在线观看视频| 国产精品久久精品日日| 国产精品天干天干在观线| 国产亚洲短视频| 国产色综合久久| 国产色产综合色产在线视频| xnxx国产精品|