said yesterday in its monthly report was in line with the needs of economic growth.
"With the CPI dropping and money supply growing at such a pace, it's probably the supply side that is playing the determining role," said Zhang Xueying, senior analyst with the State Information Centre, a government think tank.
Zhang said major reasons behind July's price drops probably included increases in the supply of grains, moving from a warehouse to a summer harvest and growing domestic supplies of aquarian products due to tightened European Union sanitary standards.
Grain prices tumbled 2.1 percent last month compared with July 2001 and aquarian prices fell by 3.6 percent.
According to the NSB, they were the top two biggest decliners in food, which registered an overall 0.9 percent price dip in July.
Zhang said an upswing in cheaper imports, which soared by 28.9 percent in July, also depressed prices in the domestic market.
But the CPI slip did not justify pessimism about deflationary woes deepening or the economic growth being scuttled, as unexpectedly strong momentum in exports and foreign direct investment in the first seven months augurs well.
"We still need to look at ex-factory prices for industrial products and capital goods prices," Zhang said.
"We are still optimistic that GDP growth will come between 7.5 to 7.8 percent this year."
Other money supply measurements, including M1 and M0, largely grew at similar paces seen in previous months.
Fluidity of money, an issue drawing increasing attention and measured by M1/M2, continued its stable growth that started in May to 37.2 percent. Yet, analysts said it was still inadequate to enable a fouled monetary system to deliver desirable support for economic growth.
China's M2 includes M1, personal savings, institutional time deposits and other deposits. M1 includes M0, or cash in circulation and institutional demand deposits.
Personal savings deposits grew by 18.4 percent from a year earlier to 8.3 trillion yuan (US$1 trillion) at the end of July.
(China Daily August 14, 2002)
